Future

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  • Growing A Book For One Hundred Years

    Blog of the Long Now
    Catherine Borgeson
    28 Oct 2014 | 1:48 pm
    It started with a seed planted in the mind of Scottish artist Katie Paterson when she made the connection between tree rings and chapters of books. Now several years in the making, Paterson’s vision will unfold over the next century in her artwork Future Library–an ambitious and evolving piece that will outlive Paterson and most of us living today. Photo by Giorgia Polizzi In the summer of 02014, Paterson and her team planted 1,000 Norwegian Spruce saplings in the forest Normarka, situated just outside of Oslo. The site is about a 25-minute walk from a metro station, yet according to…
  • Sprouting ideas in 3D with a novel ‘blended reality’ device

    KurzweilAI » News
    30 Oct 2014 | 12:26 am
    Sprout (credit: HP) What happens when you combine a scanner, depth sensor, high-resolution camera, projector, Windows 8.1 desktop computer with Intel i7 processor and 1TB of storage, and two touch screens, all squeezed into a single device? HP calls it “Sprout,” part of a new immersive “Blended Reality” ecosystem that is “designed to break down the barriers between the digital and physical worlds.” A friendly maker tool HP pitches sprout as an ideal creative tool, for designers, for example (see bottom video below), but  in practical terms, “the…
  • Robotics Learning Journey

    Singularity University
    Mikhail Holst
    28 Oct 2014 | 7:38 pm
  • Army wants Soft Exoskeletons for 90% of the Soldiers

    Next Big Future
    29 Oct 2014 | 11:17 pm
    DARPA's Warrior Web program's goal is to create a soft, lightweight undersuit to help reduce injuries and fatigue, while improving mission performance. DARPA is responsible for the development of new technologies for the U.S. military.Researchers from Harvard University's Wyss Institute for Biologically Inspired Engineering spent the past two years developing a biologically inspired smart suit that aims to boost efficiency through a new approach. A series of webbing straps contain a microprocessor and a network of strain sensors."The suit mimics the action of leg muscles and…
  • Grant program to support nanotechnology and other infrastructure

    the Foresight Institute
    Jim Lewis
    25 Oct 2014 | 1:50 pm
    GENI is a fast, open, next-generation network for exploring future internets at a national scale. Credit: Nicolle Rager Fuller, National Science Foundation Gayle Pergamit writes with news of a US National Science Foundation initiative that “addresses one of the big problems that we talked about at the [Foresight Directed/Programmable Matter for Energy Workshop]: not having enough processor power. This will be a huge boost to getting true nanotech done.” The new initiative builds upon a June 2012 Executive Order to make broadband construction faster and cheaper. From the NSF press…
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    Blog of the Long Now

  • Growing A Book For One Hundred Years

    Catherine Borgeson
    28 Oct 2014 | 1:48 pm
    It started with a seed planted in the mind of Scottish artist Katie Paterson when she made the connection between tree rings and chapters of books. Now several years in the making, Paterson’s vision will unfold over the next century in her artwork Future Library–an ambitious and evolving piece that will outlive Paterson and most of us living today. Photo by Giorgia Polizzi In the summer of 02014, Paterson and her team planted 1,000 Norwegian Spruce saplings in the forest Normarka, situated just outside of Oslo. The site is about a 25-minute walk from a metro station, yet according to…
  • Larry Harvey Seminar Media

    Andrew Warner
    27 Oct 2014 | 11:15 am
    This lecture was presented as part of The Long Now Foundation’s monthly Seminars About Long-term Thinking. Why The Man Keeps Burning Monday October 20, 02014 – San Francisco Audio is up on the Harvey Seminar page, or you can subscribe to our podcast. The Hundred Year Burn – a summary by Paul Saffo Stewart Brand’s flight from London was delayed causing him to miss this talk, so this months Seminar was hosted by Long Now executive director Alexander Rose, and the write up is by board member Paul Saffo. Burning Man is like one of those birthday candles you can’t blow…
  • Alexander Rose on The 10,000 Year Clock @ The Interval, Tuesday 10/28

    Mikl Em
    23 Oct 2014 | 12:53 pm
    Alexander Rose photo by Christopher Michel Alexander Rose: Designing for Longevity Building The 10,000 Year Clock Tuesday October 28, 02014 at 7:30pm at The Interval (check-in at 6:30) Advanced Tickets recommended Late in the last millennium, Danny Hillis told a small group of friends about his idea for building a monument-scale clock that would last for 10,000 years. The group included Stewart Brand, Kevin Kelly, and Brian Eno – and the conversations that followed led to the founding of The Long Now Foundation in 01996. Ever since then, Long Now has worked to bring the Clock into…
  • World War II Sites, Then and Now

    Charlotte Hajer
    22 Oct 2014 | 12:04 pm
    About two years ago, we shared with you a set of enhanced photographs that visualized the transformation of World-War-II-era Leningrad into contemporary St. Petersburg. We recently came across a similar photographic experiment in picturing historical change. The temporal lapse is similar: this interactive series compares 1940s images of European sites that played an important role in World War II history with their contemporary counterparts. There is no stitching together of old with new in these images; instead, your mouse performs the magic of time travel, revealing the new in place of the…
  • The Manual for Civilization takes The Knight Foundation News Challenge

    Mikl Em
    18 Oct 2014 | 11:41 am
    What captures your imagination about the future of libraries? That’s the question asked by The Knight Foundation in an open call for innovative library projects. There have been 680 proposals from around the country, and only a few days remain to give feedback and “Applaud” your favorites.  We think our Manual for Civilization project fits well with The Knight Foundation’s News Challenge funding goal: We view libraries as key for improving Americans’ ability to know about and to be involved with what takes place around them. The library has been a vital part of…
 
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    KurzweilAI » News

  • Sprouting ideas in 3D with a novel ‘blended reality’ device

    30 Oct 2014 | 12:26 am
    Sprout (credit: HP) What happens when you combine a scanner, depth sensor, high-resolution camera, projector, Windows 8.1 desktop computer with Intel i7 processor and 1TB of storage, and two touch screens, all squeezed into a single device? HP calls it “Sprout,” part of a new immersive “Blended Reality” ecosystem that is “designed to break down the barriers between the digital and physical worlds.” A friendly maker tool HP pitches sprout as an ideal creative tool, for designers, for example (see bottom video below), but  in practical terms, “the…
  • DARPA amplifier circuit achieves speeds of 1 trillion Hz, enters Guinness World Records

    29 Oct 2014 | 11:50 am
    Terahertz Monolithic Integrated Circuit (earlier version) (credit: Northrop Grumman Corp.) Officials from Guinness World Records have recognized DARPA’s Terahertz Electronics program for creating the fastest solid-state amplifier integrated circuit ever measured: one terahertz (1012 GHz), or one trillion cycles per second — 150 billion cycles faster than the existing world record set in 2012. “This breakthrough could lead to revolutionary technologies such as high-resolution security imaging systems, improved collision-avoidance radar, communications networks with many times the…
  • Google X plans to use magnetic nanoparticles and wearable sensors to detect diseases

    29 Oct 2014 | 10:33 am
    Left: Nanoparticles circulate in the blood and can be built to attach to particular types of cells, such as circulating cancer cells. Right: A device worn on the outside of the body can detect the nanoparticles and provide useful information to physicians. (Credit: Google X) Google announced a new “Nanoparticle Platform” project Tuesday to develop medical diagnostic technology using nanoparticles, Andrew Conrad, head of the Google X Life Sciences team, disclosed at The Wall Street Journal’s WSJD Live conference. The idea is to use nanoparticles with magnetic cores circulating in the…
  • Interstellar film features radical new black-hole model

    28 Oct 2014 | 1:43 pm
    A new model of a black hole for the movie Interstellar, with an accretion disk comprising detritus, is based on new discoveries by astrophysicist Kip Thorne (credit: Warner Bros. Pictures International ) With our time on Earth coming to an end, a team of explorers undertakes the most important mission in human history: traveling beyond this galaxy to discover whether mankind has a future among the stars. That’s the theme of the upcoming film Interstellar, directed by Christopher Nolan and starring Matthew McConaughey and Anne Hathaway and opening Nov. 7. A black hole also plays a key…
  • ‘Data smashing’ could automate discovery, untouched by human hands

    28 Oct 2014 | 10:38 am
    (Credit: iStock) From recognizing speech to identifying unusual stars, new discoveries often begin with comparison of data streams to find connections and spot outliers. But simply feeding raw data into a data-analysis algorithm is unlikely to produce meaningful results, say the authors of a new Cornell study. That’s because most data comparison algorithms today have one major weakness: somewhere, they rely on a human expert to specify what aspects of the data are relevant for comparison, and what aspects aren’t. But these experts can’t keep up with the growing amounts and…
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    Singularity University

  • Robotics Learning Journey

    Mikhail Holst
    28 Oct 2014 | 7:38 pm
  • Roundtable with Hershey’s Executive Team

    Mikhail Holst
    28 Oct 2014 | 7:37 pm
  • The Future of Shopping has Arrived and its Name is OSHbot

    Mikhail Holst
    28 Oct 2014 | 2:30 pm
    MOORESVILLE, N.C – This holiday season, Lowe’s Innovation Labs will introduce two autonomous retail service robots in an Orchard Supply Hardware store in midtown San Jose, California to study how robotics technology can benefit customers and employees. Called OSHbot, the robots will assist customers to quickly navigate stores by directing them to specific products and providing real-time information about product promotions and inventory. In the coming months, OSHbot will also be able to communicate with customers in multiple languages and remotely connect with expert employees at other…
  • The Future of Shopping has Arrived and its Name is OSHbot

    Megan North
    28 Oct 2014 | 8:46 am
    Lowe’s Innovation Labs introduces retail service robots to help customers shop smarter, navigate stores more efficiently, and instantly access information to confidently complete home improvement projects MOORESVILLE, N.C – This holiday season, Lowe’s Innovation Labs will introduce two autonomous retail service robots in a flagship Orchard Supply Hardware store in midtown San Jose, California to study how robotics technology can benefit customers and employees. Called OSHbot, the robots will assist customers to quickly navigate stores by directing them to specific products and providing…
  • Exponential Organizations Book Released

    jay
    21 Oct 2014 | 12:43 pm
    Written by Salim Ismail and co-authored by Yuri van Geest and Michael S. Malone with support from Peter Diamandis and SU faculty, the book is both a how-to manual and a compelling look at the future of enterprises.
 
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    Next Big Future

  • Army wants Soft Exoskeletons for 90% of the Soldiers

    29 Oct 2014 | 11:17 pm
    DARPA's Warrior Web program's goal is to create a soft, lightweight undersuit to help reduce injuries and fatigue, while improving mission performance. DARPA is responsible for the development of new technologies for the U.S. military.Researchers from Harvard University's Wyss Institute for Biologically Inspired Engineering spent the past two years developing a biologically inspired smart suit that aims to boost efficiency through a new approach. A series of webbing straps contain a microprocessor and a network of strain sensors."The suit mimics the action of leg muscles and…
  • US Crude Oil Production higher than at any times since 1973

    29 Oct 2014 | 10:01 pm
    US oil production continues to increase. The 8.97 million barrels per day of crude oil is higher than the peak in the 1980s of 8.969 million barrels per day in 1985. So all weekly numbers back to the beginning of 1983 have been passed. Oil production was lower from 1974 to 1982. So the new peak is the highest since 1973.In 1973 Nixon was president. The USA had not finished the Vietnam war (which ended in 1975).1973 is 41 years ago.In 1973, Secretariat won the Kentucky Derby.Marlon Brando won best actor for the Godfather.In 1973, Bruce Lee had a mysterious death.Gasoline was about 60 cents per…
  • Scientists make human stomach tissue with stem cells

    29 Oct 2014 | 5:08 pm
    Scientists used pluripotent stem cells to generate functional, three-dimensional human stomach tissue in a laboratory -- creating an unprecedented tool for researching the development and diseases of an organ central to several public health crises, ranging from cancer to diabetes. Scientists used human pluripotent stem cells -- which can become any cell type in the body -- to grow a miniature version of the stomach.The grown tissue will allow researchers to better study illnesses of the stomach, like those that cause ulcers and even cancer. The tissue may even be used as a treatment in and…
  • Global infrastructure and Anti-Pollution Projects can extend China's Investment Growth model

    29 Oct 2014 | 1:20 pm
    Michael Pettis has made the case that China's growth has to slow because the investment fed growth model that China has used is running out of projects with good returns. Therefore, China has to transition to primarily domestic consumption for future growthChina’s total outbound investment is estimated to increase from about $100 billion in 2013 to $600 billion in 2025. This would provide China with 2-3% of GDP growth and high return projects to apply investment. During 2011-12, the global infrastructure market rebounded from the global financial crisis, and will continue to grow…
  • Fast and High Temperature Reactors

    29 Oct 2014 | 10:42 am
    There is a high temperature reactor conference at the site of China HTR-PM (pebble bed reactor) from Oct 27-31. The HTR-PM is under construction.* Single zone, pebble bed* Super heat steam turbine (higher temperature for more efficiency)* Like conventional turbine in fossil plant* 1 turbine with 2 reactors* More reactors are possible in future* Modular concept : Inherently passively safety* Simplified safety system* Standard design* Duplicable for futureRoles of HTGR in China* Supplementary for electricity generation to the big pressure water reactors PWR- Suitable for process heat…
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    the Foresight Institute

  • Grant program to support nanotechnology and other infrastructure

    Jim Lewis
    25 Oct 2014 | 1:50 pm
    GENI is a fast, open, next-generation network for exploring future internets at a national scale. Credit: Nicolle Rager Fuller, National Science Foundation Gayle Pergamit writes with news of a US National Science Foundation initiative that “addresses one of the big problems that we talked about at the [Foresight Directed/Programmable Matter for Energy Workshop]: not having enough processor power. This will be a huge boost to getting true nanotech done.” The new initiative builds upon a June 2012 Executive Order to make broadband construction faster and cheaper. From the NSF press…
  • Light-driven molecular flapping emits white light

    Jim Lewis
    10 Oct 2014 | 5:47 pm
    A phosphorescent molecular butterfly that can generate dual (white) emission upon photoexcitation (credit: M. Han et al./Angewandte Chemie) Speaking of improving energy supply and usage through improved precision in the control of matter, Kurzweil Accelerating Intelligence News reports a butterfly-shaped molecule that changes molecular structure upon photoexcitation, shortening the distance between two platinum atoms, producing both red and greenish-blue emission, resulting in white light production. From “‘Butterfly’ molecule could lead to new sensors, photoenergy…
  • Foresight Directed/Programmable Matter for Energy Workshop

    Jim Lewis
    10 Oct 2014 | 2:01 pm
    Foresight has had a long-term interest in the directed evolution of nanoscale science and technology toward productive nanosystems and atomically precise manufacturing (see, for example, the 2007 Technology Roadmap for Productive Nanosystems and the 2013 conference Illuminating Atomic Precision). Foresight has also had a parallel interest in integrating incremental advances in nanotechnology to meet pressing human needs (see, for example, the Foresight Nanotechnology Challenges and the 2014 conference The Integration Conference). Bringing together these parallel interests, a recent…
  • A Breakthrough in 3D Imaging by EM Alone

    Stephanie C
    8 Oct 2014 | 9:40 am
    Credit: Azubel-fig The need for improved imaging and characterization on the nanoscale was emphasized in the 2007 Roadmap and again at the 2013 Foresight Conference on Atomic Precision. We noted last year a new advancement in atomic-scale resolution of 10-nm platinum particles, requiring multiple imaging techniques in combination, and recently the marked improvement in optical imaging for characterization of biological machinery at 1-nm. Now researchers at Stanford University successfully used high-resolution electron microscopy alone to characterize 1-nm gold nanoparticles (containing 68…
  • Tailoring the shapes of organic molecules by assembly-line synthesis

    Jim Lewis
    3 Oct 2014 | 4:18 pm
    The image shows a hypothetical molecular assembly line where reagents are effectively added to a growing carbon chain with extraordinary high fidelity and precision. By controlling the precise orientation of the building blocks added to the carbon chain, the conformation of the molecule can be controlled so that it adopts a helical (shown) or linear shape. Credit: Amber Webster, www.amberlwebster.com To develop a productive nanosystem for molecular manufacturing/atomically precise manufacturing it would be very useful to have a nanoscale assembly line. A month ago we posted here about a proof…
 
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    Ultrafuture World

  • Ten-E Medical Packaging Services – The Standard of Safety and Excellence in Medical Packaging

    admin
    28 Oct 2014 | 5:44 am
    When you visit your family physician and notice all of the precautions that are taken with rubber gloves and specially marked disposal containers, as well as all of the information that surrounds you is barely skimming the surface of all of the safety and precautionary measures that accompany the medical profession. Safe packaging of hazardous and dangerous products is critical for your safety and the well-being of sick patients who are being treated. Ten-E Packaging Services has over twenty years of experiences in the field of dangerous goods and medical packaging, as well as transporting…
  • Marketing Through Facebook

    admin
    10 Oct 2014 | 8:20 am
    Most businesses need a Facebook Boost to make sure that their marketing efforts are effective. When the business is using social media, it will find that it can bring more customers into the fold. Also, the business will be able to reach people who would not have known about the business otherwise. The Social Media Factor Most businesses that use social media pages need to make sure they have new customers coming to the page every day. Also, these customers need to be engaged in the business in some way. Sending customers to the Facebook page allows the customer a chance to read information…
  • Automotive items that are a must for any road-trip

    admin
    9 Oct 2014 | 7:41 am
    When preparing for a road trip, you must keep an open mind as to what to bring along for the ride. Depending on the destination some of these tagalong items may seem like unnecessary luxuries, while others may seem like no-brainers. Here are three of those luxuries: A bike rack Many may already have a bike rack installed on their vehicle, others may need to invest in the added accessory. A bike rack, of course with the bicycles, is a must have for many outdoor enthusiasts. Not only is a mountain bike ride a healthy alternative to most cardio exercises, it also helps explore the natural and…
  • Potential basis for a new treatment for Parkinson’s disease

    Gabriel
    5 Aug 2014 | 4:25 am
    Parkinson’s disease affects the neurons in the brain region called the substantia nigra (black substance); mitochondrial activity ceases and the cells die. Researchers have now proven to provide D-lactate or glycolate, two products of the DJ-1 gene, can stop and even reverse this process. In their experiments, the team Teymuras Kurzchalia and Tony Hyman, the Max Planck Institute of Molecular Cell Biology and Genetics in Germany, found that adding substances to human HeLa cells, grown in the laboratory, and cells of the worm C. elegans, restoring mitochondrial activity and prevented the…
  • Why brain tumors are somewhat more common in men?

    Gabriel
    4 Aug 2014 | 12:44 am
    New research carried out by researchers from the University of Washington and published in The Journal of Clinical Investigation may help to explain why brain tumors occur more often in adult males, as well as, often are more aggressive than the same types of malignant neoplastic disease in adult females. An example is found in glioblastoma, the most common malignant brain tumors and are diagnosed twice more in men than in women. In addition, with this tumor, virtually incurable even quickly treated with surgery, men suffer major alterations cognitive than women, as they do not survive long.
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    Broader Perspective

  • Connected World Wearables Free Cognitive Surplus

    26 Oct 2014 | 10:37 pm
    The immediate reaction to the Connected World (26 billion devices by 2020 as predicted by Gartner; more than four connected devices per human; or really 1 for some and 20 for others) is the notion that man is becoming infantilized: over-tracked, over-surveilled, and over-directed by technology, and certainly over-dependent upon technology. We no longer seem able to think for ourselves with the cloud automatically piloting all aspects of day-to-day life with reminders, notifications, and ambiently-updating data. Worse, our lives seem automated and automatonish; where is the caprice and…
  • iSchools: Contemporary Information Technology Theory Studies

    19 Oct 2014 | 2:17 pm
    The perfect merger of academic rigor and contemporary thinking has come together in the concept of iSchools, which give practical consideration and interesting learning opportunities to the most relevant issue of our time: information. So far there are over 50 worldwide iSchools; a global pool, like bitcoin for academia. The March 2014 conference was held in Berlin and the March 2015 conference will be at UC Irvine. With higher education under reinvention pressure from all directions, the possibility of making institutional learning relevant again cannot be underscored enough.iSchools are the…
  • Bitcoin Newbie Series: How to Get and Spend Bitcoin

    5 Oct 2014 | 10:32 pm
    We aren't used to authority being a peer-to-peer responsibility as opposed to something imposed by a centralized institution. Authority floating freely has already happened in information - when information became decentralized with blogging and the restructuring of the media industry, and in entertainment, where individuals became their own taste-makers. In these cases individuals must examine content and think for themselves about its quality and validity. The bitcoin revolution is the same thing happening now with currency, economics, finance, and monetary policy. It might seem harder to…
  • Blockchain Health - Remunerative Health Data Commons & HealthCoin RFPs

    28 Sep 2014 | 9:08 pm
    The bigger concept behind cryptocurrencies like bitcoin is blockchain technology. The blockchain (a chain of transaction blocks) is a public transaction ledger, automatically downloaded and stored digitally in electronic wallet applications; a digital record of all transactions in a certain asset class like bitcoin. There can be different kinds of blockchains (ledgers) for recording and tracking different kinds of assets. Blockchain health is the idea of using blockchain technology for health-related applications. At least four principal blockchain health ideas have been articulated so far:…
  • Bitcoin Newbie? How to get Started

    22 Sep 2014 | 12:05 am
    Consult this primer: Getting Started with Bitcoin from bitcoin.org (an industry-supported foundation), and FAQ.Step 1: Get yourself a wallet (app/client) such as Coinbase, Blockchain, Electrum (beginner's guide), Mycelium (Android), Bitcoin-Qt (now Bitcoin Core).  Step 2. Obtain some Bitcoin - Ideally someone will have given you some, or you can buy some from someone local. Another possibility is gifting yourself some with eGifter or other services.You can always convert dollars to bitcoin. You will need to provide your identity if you are going to transfer dollars into bitcoin with one…
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    Futurismic

  • Make technological utopia easier with this one weird trick

    Paul Raven
    12 Oct 2014 | 9:30 am
    Kevin Kelly’s “desirable-future haikus” thing on Medium is a great example of what I believe to be the standard blindspot of ICT-focussed futurists, in that they’ve forgotten that anything other than ICT could possibly matter or make a difference to the way we live. In a way, this points to a widespread and stunted understanding of the word “technology” as meaning “electronics and computers”, when in fact the Greek root of the word addresses techniques, skills and competencies alongside the tools needed to do the job. Agriculture is a technology; democracy is a…
  • Containers

    Paul Raven
    4 Oct 2014 | 6:42 am
    Staying untypically on-topic, the good folk at Rhizome are doing a series of future fictions under the banner Dystopia Everyday, using the software-dev format of the “user story”. The latest one is “Containers” by Adam Rothstein, and I commend it to your attention: I woke up at the chime, looked at the mobile. New work available. I clocked in, made coffee, sat at the desk. Two hours of work right away, even before Twitter. Felt accomplished. I invoiced, and collected. I met Sandra for breakfast. She’s in Miami. She had the ceiling open to let in the sun. She got…
  • The role of utopian narratives in urban futurism

    Paul Raven
    1 Oct 2014 | 8:09 am
    So here’s a brief thing from Ramez Naam at Slate, where he argues in favour of dystopian futures as a valid counterbalance to the more purposefully utopian offerings contained in Neal Stephenson’s new Hieroglyph anthology: 1984 may be an example of a self-defeating prophecy. It was David Brin, one of the Hieroglyph authors, who first introduced me to the idea that a sufficiently powerful dystopia may influence society strongly enough to head off (or at least help head off) the world that it depicts. That alone is a compelling reason for society to create smart dystopias.
  • If it works, it’s obsolete

    Paul Raven
    2 Feb 2014 | 7:24 am
    There are some elephants in the room that Chairman Bruce would like to show to us. [Opening ceremony speech from transmediale2014] Follow Futurismic on Twitter for more nuggets of near-future fun and weirdness!
  • A Viridian post-mortem, plus the rhetorics of futurity

    Paul Raven
    29 Nov 2013 | 6:54 am
    “Three things make a post,” the saying used to go — so here’s three things. First up, my first solo paper (“The future’s four quarters: Proposing a quadrant methodology for strategic prototyping in infrastructural contexts”) has finally wended its way through the tangled corridors of the academic publishing system, and is now in press at Technological Forecasting & Social Change. It’s basically an attempt to retool the nascent field of sf prototyping into something more than an unreflexive flight of solutionist fancy, but also to scale it up…
 
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    Overcoming Bias

  • “I Robot, You Unemployed”

    Robin Hanson
    28 Oct 2014 | 8:40 am
    Tomorrow (Wednesday) at 7pm EST I’ll do a Learn Liberty Live! web presentation on “I, Robot. You, Unemployed” here. After a short ten minute presentation, I’ll lead ninety minutes of discussion. I expect to focus on em econ.
  • The Rosy View Bias

    Robin Hanson
    25 Oct 2014 | 5:10 pm
    How much does merit contribute to success? A rosy view is that success is mostly due to merit, while a dark view is that success is mostly not due to merit, but instead due to what we see as illicit factors, such as luck, looks, wit, wealth, race, gender, politics, etc. Over a lifetime people gain data on the relation between success and merit. And one data point stands out most in their minds: the relation between their own success and merit. Since most people see themselves as being pretty meritorious, the sign of this data point depends mostly on their personal success. Successful people…
  • Thrown’s Kit’s Self-Deception

    Robin Hanson
    20 Oct 2014 | 5:15 pm
    Back in July 2010 Kerry Howley published a nice New York Times Magazine article on the tensions between my wife and I resulting from my choice to do cryonics. The very next month, August 2010, is the date when, in Howley’s new and already-celebrated book Thrown, her alter-ego Kit first falls in love with MMA fighting: Not until my ride home, as I began to settle back into my bones and feel the limiting contours of perception close back in like the nursery curtains that stifled the views of my youth, did it occur to me that I had, for the first time in my life, found a way out of this, my…
  • Em Software Results

    Robin Hanson
    17 Oct 2014 | 10:25 am
    After requesting your help, I should tell you what it added up to. The following is an excerpt from my book draft, illustrated by this diagram: In our world, the cost of computing hardware has been falling rapidly for decades. This fall has forced most computer projects to be short term, so that products can be used before they are made obsolete. The increasing quantity of software purchased has also led to larger software projects, which involve more engineers. This has shifted the emphasis toward more communication and negotiation, and also more modularity and standardization in software…
  • History Vs. Future

    Robin Hanson
    14 Oct 2014 | 12:25 pm
    I’ve long puzzled over differing interest in history and the future, in both fiction and non-fiction. And I’ve finally collected some numbers. Amazon.com says it has 37 million books on offer. Here are the fraction of those books it says are in these named categories: Note that Amazon has no “future studies” category, so I listed the two future-themed categories I found. Here are the fraction of books associated with related keyword phrases: Why the far larger interest in real history, relative to all the other combinations of future/history and real/fictional?
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    The Fourth Revolution Blog

  • How to Look Beyond Aggressiveness and Hate

    Jeremie Averous
    30 Oct 2014 | 4:30 am
    “The enemy is fear. We think it is hate; but, it is fear” – said Gandhi. When we express hate (or even just mundane aggressiveness) we in fact somehow express our underlying fear, our intrinsic insecurity. It is amazing to consider when someone screams at you, how fragile and fearful that person must be. I find it is an excellent way to overcome the natural rush of adrenaline and the emotional reaction to the situation (which typically hovers around our primitive fight or flight reaction) . Plus it provides some empathy that might come useful in that situation (Of course…
  • How to, and Why Put One’s Eggs in a Single Basket – a Small Company Guide

    Jeremie Averous
    28 Oct 2014 | 4:30 am
    Mark Twain said, “Put all of your eggs in one basket and WATCH THAT BASKET.” Well, that’s obviously the contrary of the more prudent common wisdom say “don’t put all your eggs in a single basket“! Who is right? What are the situations where it might be worthwhile follow Mark Twain’s recommendation and what are other situations where we might better follow common wisdom? In terms of risk management, having several egg baskets spreads the risk – there is less risk that the entire egg supply disappears, while at the same time there is a higher…
  • Would Happiness Be Our Greatest Fear?

    Jeremie Averous
    25 Oct 2014 | 4:30 am
    In this post, Om Swami makes the point that Happiness could be our greatest fear. Even beyond fear of unknown, of death, loss, of failure and rejection! “When good things do happen, we think it’s luck, or plain fluke, that we couldn’t possibly deserve this goodness. This is the fear of happiness. And, it stops most people from chasing their dreams, it’s the obstacle to realizing their full potential“. According to him, it is a fear that we would learn progressively from being in situations where we would not be adequate. “With the passage of time, this…
  • How the Collaborative Age Requires Global Political Action

    Jeremie Averous
    23 Oct 2014 | 7:15 am
    I very much enjoyed reading the popular book ‘Capital in the 21st Century‘ by the French economist Thomas Picketty. Of course, I really enjoy the historical approach as I believe that historical perspective can give us really valuable insights into the major changes in our societies – that is quite a similar approach to the approach in followed in my book, although of course I had less time to dwell and research into historical economics series! I really recommend this book for learning about inequality changes throughout the Industrial Age, and in particular in the 20th…
  • Why Your Organization’s Strategic Change Starts With Your Calendar

    Jeremie Averous
    21 Oct 2014 | 4:30 am
    “Strategic change doesn’t just start at the top. It starts with your calendar.”  says Andrew Grove, former CEO of Intel, in his book ‘Only the Paranoid Survive‘. In that he means that the change of focus from executives must immediately be reflected in the way they spend their time. The accustomed committees of the past might not make so much sense in the new picture. More time might need to be devoted to more pressing issues related to the new direction of the organization. In addition, people will know immediately which are the meetings which are now removed…
 
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    XYZ University

  • The tech your association needs

    Shannon Neeser
    28 Oct 2014 | 8:44 am
    The world is changing, your membership is changing and your association needs to make some changes too. Technology is not something limited to a single department anymore, it’s playing an important role in every member’s life. Tapping into the technology that members use will help you better connect, recruit and retain members. You’ve probably heard this before, but social media and mobile marketing are must-have association tools. These are low-hanging fruit that many associations still need to catch up on. Social media When 89% of 18-29 year olds are using social media, it’s time…
  • Online communities and member retention

    Shannon Neeser
    27 Oct 2014 | 8:34 am
    The only way way your association is going to be able to retain members is by making them feel connected to you and by providing them value. Why else would they pay membership dues? If they can have the same experience elsewhere, there’s nothing to keep them from going elsewhere. According to the 2013 Membership Benchmarking Report, one of the top reasons people join associations is for networking opportunities. Your association can improve retention by helping members network better. One of your biggest assets your association has is its members. They are valuable to you and to each other…
  • Work redefined: The 21st Century workplace

    Shannon Neeser
    24 Oct 2014 | 8:40 am
    Generation Y is bigger than the Baby Boomer generation. As Boomers retire and more Millennials move into ranks of authority, the 21st Century workplace is going to see some major shifts. These shifts are already happening, and they are redefining the workplace. Working without walls Try to get a coffee in Boulder, Colorado and you’ll find the shops swamped with patrons on laptops, professionals working. I’ve been working full-time from home for years. The workplace no longer needs to be office space. Even when I was working in an office, most of my work could be easily done remotely. And…
  • Developing a successful mentorship program

    Shannon Neeser
    23 Oct 2014 | 1:27 pm
    Keeping up in the modern-day workforce and remaining competitive means hiring young employees and developing leaders among them. You need to be thinking about your future leaders now. Attracting talented young employees and developing their leadership skills is an essential part of succession planning and talent development. A successful mentorship program will help you not only develop talent, but also attract it. Your Generation X, Y and Z employees may not have a lot of leadership skills to bring with them from past experiences, but pairing them with seasoned leaders in your organization…
  • Come see us at #ASAE14!

    XYZ University
    5 Aug 2014 | 2:44 pm
    We are gearing up for a fun-filled weekend of networking with association professionals as part of the ASAE Annual Meeting and Expo in Nashville, August 9-12. We’re so excited that we thought we’d give you a sneak peek at some of the great reasons to come visit XYZ University at this year’s event (Booth #1713). Don’t miss it! And don’t forget to grab a copy of Sarah Sladek’s latest book at the ASAE Bookstore or talk to us about custom book orders at our booth! See you in Nashville!
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    Singularitarian

  • Biomedical Sensors That Dissolve in Your Body Will Reduce Infection and Waste

    27 Oct 2014 | 10:32 pm
    Biomedical Sensors That Dissolve in Your Body Will Reduce Infection and Waste: These days, if you’re hit hard enough in the head by a blunt object, doctors will drill a hole in your skull. They do this to insert something called an intraventricular catheter in your brain, which allows them to monitor the pressure and oxygen levels of your healing brain. Then, once your brain doesn’t need a babysitter, they have to do another surgery to take it out again.
  • A Brief History of Scientists Hunting for Time Travelers

    10 Oct 2014 | 8:57 am
    A Brief History of Scientists Hunting for Time Travelers: Time travel is possible—or at least a lot of serious physicists say so. It’s probably not possible to pull it off in a souped-up Delorean, but there are wormholes, Tipler cylinders, and other Einstein-inspired theories for how it could work. Which raises the question: Why haven’t we met any visitors from another time?
  • UW fusion reactor concept could be cheaper than coal

    8 Oct 2014 | 2:26 pm
    UW fusion reactor concept could be cheaper than coal: Fusion energy almost sounds too good to be true – zero greenhouse gas emissions, no long-lived radioactive waste, a nearly unlimited fuel supply.
  • Scientists say penises grown in lab could be tested on humans within five years

    7 Oct 2014 | 10:20 am
    Scientists say penises grown in lab could be tested on humans within five years: Scientists have successfully grown penises in a laboratory and say they could be tested on humans within five years.
  • NASA Eyes Crew Deep Sleep Option for Mars Mission

    6 Oct 2014 | 10:34 am
    NASA Eyes Crew Deep Sleep Option for Mars Mission: A NASA-backed study explores an innovative way to dramatically cut the cost of a human expedition to Mars — put the crew in stasis.
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    Thought Infection

  • Real Growth from Virtual Economies – Part III: A Day Inside the Virtual Economy

    @ThoughtInfected
    19 Oct 2014 | 5:21 am
    This is the third part in a series titled Real Growth from Virtual Economies. In the first part, I made the case that the technology and demand is set for a boom in virtual reality within the next half decade. In the second post, I explained how the mass migration of people into virtual space will leads to the natural rise of economies of exchange within these spaces. Coupled with the erosion of physical scarcity due to mass automation in the meat world, I envision that virtualization could lead us into a new type of economy, one which is focused on the service of virtual wants rather than…
  • Real Growth from Virtual Economies – Part II: The Rise of the Virtual Economies

    @ThoughtInfected
    13 Sep 2014 | 11:42 am
    It seems that the idea that that growth in automation and algorithmization could lead to massive joblessness is becoming a popular topic lately. I highly recommend CGPGrey’s recent video on the topic (found here). While I generally agree that this represents a real problem for the near future of real economies, I have also been thinking lately that there may be some merit to one of the retorts that consistently comes up in the discussion; namely, the idea that in the future people will be doing jobs that haven’t yet been invented. Although I am certainly not sure that we will…
  • Real Growth from Virtual Economies – Part I: The VR Boom

    @ThoughtInfected
    24 Aug 2014 | 11:02 am
    Apologies for the long summer break this year, I am hoping to return to regular posts of 1-2 per month starting now. I have also been working on putting together an e-book with most of the ThoughtInfection posts from the last year and a couple of all new essays that will only be found in the ebook. I am hoping to release some time this fall – please stay tuned for that. This is part 1 of a series on the coming boom in Virtual Reality Economies which I have titled Real Growth From Virtual Economies. In this post, I will make the case that a major boom in the proliferation and adoption…
  • Corporations are not people, but soon they could be.

    @ThoughtInfected
    3 Aug 2014 | 1:24 pm
    There has been a fair amount of talk lately about the nature of corporate personhood and the destructive effects it can have on the political process. The WolfPAC, a political action organization which is (somewhat ironically) collecting money in order to lobby governments to create limits for the amount of money that can be donated to political causes. I agree that there exists a desperate need for some kind of counterbalance for the undue influence that money has on the political process, but I also recognize that this is a complex issue. In particular I am concerned that the way in…
  • Lay-Offs Should be Good News

    @ThoughtInfected
    20 Jul 2014 | 10:19 am
    I would like to preface this post by pointing out that I very much sympathize with those who must endure the stress, uncertainty and general hardship that unemployment brings upon people and families that must live through it. The purpose of this post is not meant to suggest that the human costs of job loss are negligible or unimportant, but instead to encourage deeper thought on the too often forgotten pluses of job cuts. If we wish to live in an efficient and fair society then we must seek means to maximize the pros and diminish the cons of eliminating jobs. …
 
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    Getting Through High School

  • My Sort of Funny SAT Experience

    20 Oct 2014 | 12:39 pm
    Sorry for that two week hiatus, folks!Do you know that moment when life sort of just catches up to you and you need a breather? Yeah, I just had that moment. For two weeks. So I guess it was less of a moment than of a time period. But I don't want to get technical because I'll try to get back into the groove of things!However, since it's Monday, let's just skip the whole "advice" thing. I think we've had enough of school for today.... I know I have. Three tests will do that to you!I guess what would be a little more appropriate is this somewhat comical story of my SAT experience! As most of…
  • Planning on Taking The SAT?

    1 Oct 2014 | 11:00 am
    If you are, I'd suggest taking practice tests at least once at CollegeBoard. Just type "SAT collegeboard practice" and you should find the link! If you take the online version of it, you'll find that you can get a personalized score report for your test. Then you can know exactly what you need to work on in preparation for the real SAT.A word of caution though, the online version can be a bit spotty. Printing out a test might be a bit better. I recently took the online version of it, and when I finished and pressed "submit," I got an error screen. But I took the practice once before online,…
  • Make Money Being Creative

    29 Sep 2014 | 11:30 am
    So as you might know, I like to write. Even more than writing, I love to read. I recently found that you can actually make some extra money writing! It's not enough to live off of, but it's enough to let you buy a pack of gum without asking your parents for money. Best of all, you don't have to be an adult to do it! This summer, I made a couple extra bucks by writing for a couple of freelance sites. In the past, I've used sites like Odesk and Elance. I didn't have a great experience with Elance, but I got good offers with Odesk.Another great place is a site like Fiverr.com. Yes there are two…
  • Just Some Sunshine for the Monday Blues

    15 Sep 2014 | 12:35 pm
    I decided to break away from the usual routine today and just post some stories that tickled me when I read them. I understand that some of them might be old, but they still make me laugh! I hope you enjoy them as much as I did.Wrong email address:A couple going on vacation but his wife was on a business trip so he went to the destination first and his wife would meet him the next day.When he reached his hotel, he decided to send his wife a quick email.Unfortunately, when typing her address, he mistyped a letter and his note was directed instead to an elderly preacher’s wife whose husband…
  • Why I Think Blogging is Great

    12 Sep 2014 | 11:00 am
    Hi everyone! I know I've been spotty with posting this last week, but I promise, we're gonna be back on the ball! I felt like dedicating this post to blogging! You might ask yourself "well, how the heck does blogging relate to school?" Here's my answer: this is not some step-by-step how-to for school.This blog is whatever you and I make it to be! I write this stuff for your benefit and for my own, because it gives me a hobby and you, hopefully, something interesting to read! Wow, I'm using a lot of exclamation marks. Anyway, I think that blogging is a great way to say what you wanna say and…
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